The 10th congressional district is solidly Democrat, but Republican attorney David Harmer thinks he has a good shot at defeating the more experienced politician, his Democratic rival Lt. Governor John Garamendi.
Wall Street Journal writer John Fund says that a recent poll
“using conventional turnout models” by Wilson Research Strategies shows Garamendi with a 41% to 34% lead in the district, where 47 percent of registered voters are Democrat, and 28 percent are Republican.
“Harmer has had no trouble portraying Mr. Garamendi as a big part of the state’s fiscal mess,” Fund writes. “Mr. Garamendi, a true-blue liberal who has held various offices for 30 years, clearly relishes the old tax-and-spend formula that got California into its current fiscal hole.”
While Fund proclaims that an upset is definitely possible on November 3, Contra Costa Times
political writer Lisa Vorderbrueggen is not so sure:
“The lieutenant governor has overwhelming name identification in a congressional district where Democrats outnumber Republicans by 18 percentage points. Harmer is a political unknown likely to raise just a fraction of the money that his opponent will collect.”